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Reliable support: Measuring calibration of likelihood ratios
9 references·12 citing·30 second hop
Reliable support: Measuring calibration of likelihood ratios (2013)Reliable support: Measuring calibration o…Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation (2007)Strictly Proper Scoring Rules…Statistics and the Evaluation of Evidence for Forensic Scientists (2004)Statistics and the Evaluation…Cambridge international dictionary of English (2000)Cambridge international dicti…A model for case assessment and interpretation (1998)A model for case assessment a…A hierarchy of propositions: deciding which level to address in casework (1998)A hierarchy of propositions: …Statistics and the Evaluation of Evidence for Forensic Scientists (1996)Statistics and the Evaluation…Interpreting Evidence: Evaluating Forensic Science in the Courtroom (1995)Interpreting Evidence: Evalua…The Comparison and Evaluation of Forecasters (1983)The Comparison and Evaluation…Elicitation of Personal Probabilities and Expectations (1971)Elicitation of Personal Proba…From specific-source feature-based to common-source score-based likelihood-ratio systems: ranking the stars (2023)From specific-source feature-…The strange persistence of (source) “identification” claims in forensic literature through descriptivism, diagnosticism and machinism (2022)The strange persistence of (s…Objectifying evidence evaluation for gunshot residue comparisons using machine learning on criminal case data (2022)Objectifying evidence evaluat…Testing for Calibration Discrepancy of Reported Likelihood Ratios in Forensic Science (2021)Testing for Calibration Discr…Measuring calibration of likelihood-ratio systems: A comparison of four metrics, including a new metric devPAV (2021)Measuring calibration of like…Forensic science and the principle of excluded middle: “Inconclusive” decisions and the structure of error rate studies (2021)Forensic science and the prin…Why calibrating LR-systems is best practice. A reaction to “The evaluation of evidence for microspectrophotometry data using functional data analysis”, in FSI 305 (2020)Why calibrating LR-systems is…Scientific foundations and current state of trace evidence—A review (2020)Scientific foundations and cu…Interpretation of Glass Evidence (2020)Interpretation of Glass Evide…Defence against the modern arts: the curse of statistics—Part II: ‘Score-based likelihood ratios’ (2020)Defence against the modern ar…An inter-laboratory evaluation of LA-ICP-MS analysis of glass and the use of a database for the interpretation of glass evidence (2018)An inter-laboratory evaluatio…Numerical likelihood ratios outputted by LR systems are often based on extrapolation: When to stop extrapolating? (2016)Numerical likelihood ratios o…The spread of low-credibility content by social botsTheory of Games and Statistical Decisions. (1955)A New Vector Partition of the Probability Score (1973)Scoring rules and the evaluation of probabilities (1996)Combining Probability Forecasts (2010)Le Comportement de l'Homme Rationnel devant le Risque: Critique des Postulats et Axiomes de l'Ecole Americaine (1953)Risk Aversion in the Small and in the Large (1964)Risk Aversion in the Small and in the Large (1976)The Theory of Incentives: The Principal-Agent Model (2001)Measuring Expectations (2004)Comparing Predictive Accuracy (1994)Probabilistic Forecasts, Calibration and Sharpness (2007)Making and Evaluating Point Forecasts (2011)Generación de series de tiempo financieras sintéticas para "data augmentation" usando redes neuronales generativas adversarias (GAN) (2021)The Evidential Foundations of Probabilistic Reasoning. (1995)More on the hierarchy of propositions: exploring the distinction between explanations and propositions (2000)The impact of the principles of evidence interpretation on the structure and content of statements (2000)Identification of gunshot residue: a critical review (2001)Measuring the validity and reliability of forensic likelihood-ratio systems (2011)The nature of forensic science opinion—a possible framework to guide thinking and practicce in investigation and in court proceedings (2006)Validity and reliability of forensic firearm examiners (2019)Interpretation of chemical data from glass analysis for forensic purposes (2020)An interlaboratory study evaluating the interpretation of forensic glass evidence using refractive index measurements and elemental composition (2021)The Athlete’s Biological Passport and Indirect Markers of Blood Doping (2009)Endogenous Steroid Profiling in the Athlete Biological Passport (2010)A guideline for the validation of likelihood ratio methods used for forensic evidence evaluation (2016)Pronouns as a preliminary diagnostic for grouping Papuan languages (2005)Derivative Word Forms: What Do Learners Know? (2002)What is a “Health Disparity”? (2002)What Corpora Can Offer in Language Teaching and Learning (2011)
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References

  • 2007Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation5,771 cited
  • 1971Elicitation of Personal Probabilities and Expectations1,228 cited
  • 1983The Comparison and Evaluation of Forecasters603 cited
  • 1996Statistics and the Evaluation of Evidence for Forensic Scientists567 cited
  • 2004Statistics and the Evaluation of Evidence for Forensic Scientists566 cited
  • 1998A hierarchy of propositions: deciding which level to address in casework454 cited
  • 1995Interpreting Evidence: Evaluating Forensic Science in the Courtroom368 cited
  • 2000Cambridge international dictionary of English307 cited
  • 1998A model for case assessment and interpretation299 cited

Cited by

  • 2016Numerical likelihood ratios outputted by LR systems are often based on extrapolation: When to stop extrapolating?56 cited
  • 2020Scientific foundations and current state of trace evidence—A review50 cited
  • 2018An inter-laboratory evaluation of LA-ICP-MS analysis of glass and the use of a database for the interpretation of glass evidence39 cited
  • 2021Forensic science and the principle of excluded middle: “Inconclusive” decisions and the structure of error rate studies38 cited
  • 2020Defence against the modern arts: the curse of statistics—Part II: ‘Score-based likelihood ratios’

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36 cited
  • 2022The strange persistence of (source) “identification” claims in forensic literature through descriptivism, diagnosticism and machinism24 cited
  • 2021Measuring calibration of likelihood-ratio systems: A comparison of four metrics, including a new metric devPAV19 cited
  • 2023From specific-source feature-based to common-source score-based likelihood-ratio systems: ranking the stars16 cited
  • 2021Testing for Calibration Discrepancy of Reported Likelihood Ratios in Forensic Science15 cited
  • 2020Interpretation of Glass Evidence15 cited
  • 2022Objectifying evidence evaluation for gunshot residue comparisons using machine learning on criminal case data14 cited
  • 2020Why calibrating LR-systems is best practice. A reaction to “The evaluation of evidence for microspectrophotometry data using functional data analysis”, in FSI 30513 cited