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Option fixation: A cognitive contributor to overconfidence
16 references·16 citing·39 second hopsampled
Option fixation: A cognitive contributor to overconfidence (2007)Option fixation: A cognitive contributor …Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment (2004)Heuristics and Biases: The Ps…In two minds: dual-process accounts of reasoning (2003)In two minds: dual-process ac…The misunderstood limits of folk science: an illusion of explanatory depth (2002)The misunderstood limits of f…Sources of Power: How People Make Decisions (2001)Sources of Power: How People …Coherence in Thought and Action (2000)Coherence in Thought and Acti…The empirical case for two systems of reasoning. (1996)The empirical case for two sy…On the reality of cognitive illusions. (1996)On the reality of cognitive i…Simultaneous over- and underconfidence: The role of error in judgment processes. (1994)Simultaneous over- and underc…Reasoning in explanation-based decision making (1993)Reasoning in explanation-base…The weighing of evidence and the determinants of confidence (1992)The weighing of evidence and …Two methods of reducing overconfidence (1987)Two methods of reducing overc…The Role of Dialogue in Providing Scaffolded Instruction (1986)The Role of Dialogue in Provi…Constructive Interaction and the Iterative Process of Understanding (1986)Constructive Interaction and …Training for calibration (1980)Training for calibrationDo those who know more also know more about how much they know? (1977)Do those who know more also k…Models of Man--Social and Rational (1958)Models of Man--Social and Rat…Jumping to fixations: jumping to conclusions is associated with less hypothesis generation and more fixation (2024)Jumping to fixations: jumping…Individual Differences in Overconfidence: A New Measurement Approach (2023)Individual Differences in Ove…Individual differences in overconfidence: A new measurement approach (2023)Individual differences in ove…A Nudge Towards Cardiovascular Health: Applications of Behavioral Economics for Primary and Secondary Cardiovascular Prevention (2020)A Nudge Towards Cardiovascula…Overconfidence (2018)OverconfidenceOverconfidence (2016)OverconfidenceWhat you think and what I think: Studying intersubjectivity in knowledge artifacts evaluation (2015)What you think and what I thi…Probabilistic Coherence Weighting for Optimizing Expert Forecasts (2013)Probabilistic Coherence Weigh…Metacognitive Strategies for Making Sense of Cross-Cultural Encounters (2013)Metacognitive Strategies for …Why so confident? The influence of outcome desirability on selective exposure and likelihood judgment (2012)Why so confident? The influen…Self-selection bias in hypothesis comparison (2012)Self-selection bias in hypoth…Hierarchical models of simple mechanisms underlying confidence in decision making (2010)Hierarchical models of simple…Are the Unskilled Doomed to Remain Unaware? [The Extended Version] (2010)Are the Unskilled Doomed to R…Demonstrating and eliminating the aggregation effect in physical skill tasks (2009)Demonstrating and eliminating…Response error and processing biases in confidence judgment (2008)Response error and processing…Rejoinder: error in confidence judgments (2008)Rejoinder: error in confidenc…Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk (1979)The theory of planned behavior (1991)Self-Efficacy: The Exercise of Control (1999)Dual-Processing Accounts of Reasoning, Judgment, and Social Cognition (2007)On seeing human: A three-factor theory of anthropomorphism. (2007)The weirdest people in the world? (2010)Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Knowledge and Cognition (1975)Norm theory: Comparing reality to its alternatives. (1986)Investor Psychology and Asset Pricing (2001)Party Policy in Modern Democracies (2006)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. (1984)Individual differences in reasoning: Implications for the rationality debate? (2000)Understanding and sharing intentions: The origins of cultural cognition (2005)Dual-Process Theories of Higher Cognition (2013)The Principles of Psychology (1891)Risk as feelings. (2001)A perspective on judgment and choice: Mapping bounded rationality. (2003)Unskilled and unaware of it: How difficulties in recognizing one's own incompetence lead to inflated self-assessments. (1999)The meaning of ‘meaning’ (2010)The Dunning–Kruger Effect (2011)Resource-rational analysis: Understanding human cognition as the optimal use of limited computational resources (2019)Artificial intelligence and illusions of understanding in scientific research (2024)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)The impact of sleep deprivation on decision making: A review. (2000)Models of ecological rationality: The recognition heuristic. (2002)A power primer. (1992)Confirmation Bias: A Ubiquitous Phenomenon in Many Guises (1998)Investor Psychology and Security Market Under‐ and Overreactions (1998)Reflexion and reflection: A social cognitive neuroscience approach to attributional inference (2002)Explaining Away: A Model of Affective Adaptation (2008)Preference, Value, Choice, and Welfare (2011)Shaping the Next One Hundred Years: New Methods for Quantitative, Long-Term Policy Analysis (2003)Naturalistic Decision Making (2008)Critical realism in case study research (2009)FREQUENCY EFFECTS IN LANGUAGE PROCESSING (2002)Instructional manipulation checks: Detecting satisficing to increase statistical power (2009)
this work references cited by second hop· second hop is a sample of the most-cited connections

References

  • 1996The empirical case for two systems of reasoning.3,855 cited
  • 2004Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment3,536 cited
  • 1958Models of Man--Social and Rational3,146 cited
  • 2003In two minds: dual-process accounts of reasoning2,259 cited
  • 2001Sources of Power: How People Make Decisions2,155 cited
  • 1992The weighing of evidence and the determinants of confidence1,842 cited
  • 1996On the reality of cognitive illusions.1,466 cited
  • 1977Do those who know more also know more about how much they know?1,081 cited
  • 2002The misunderstood limits of folk science: an illusion of explanatory depth1,024 cited
  • 2000Coherence in Thought and Action966 cited
  • 1994Simultaneous over- and underconfidence: The role of error in judgment processes.644 cited
  • 1986The Role of Dialogue in Providing Scaffolded Instruction495 cited
  • 1986Constructive Interaction and the Iterative Process of Understanding442 cited
  • 1980Training for calibration382 cited
  • 1993Reasoning in explanation-based decision making293 cited
  • 1987Two methods of reducing overconfidence

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278 cited

Cited by

  • 2013Metacognitive Strategies for Making Sense of Cross-Cultural Encounters72 cited
  • 2013Probabilistic Coherence Weighting for Optimizing Expert Forecasts48 cited
  • 2012Why so confident? The influence of outcome desirability on selective exposure and likelihood judgment38 cited
  • 2010Hierarchical models of simple mechanisms underlying confidence in decision making23 cited
  • 2020A Nudge Towards Cardiovascular Health: Applications of Behavioral Economics for Primary and Secondary Cardiovascular Prevention13 cited
  • 2015What you think and what I think: Studying intersubjectivity in knowledge artifacts evaluation12 cited
  • 2009Demonstrating and eliminating the aggregation effect in physical skill tasks11 cited
  • 2012Self-selection bias in hypothesis comparison9 cited
  • 2008Response error and processing biases in confidence judgment8 cited
  • 2023Individual differences in overconfidence: A new measurement approach7 cited
  • 2023Individual Differences in Overconfidence: A New Measurement Approach5 cited
  • 2016Overconfidence4 cited
  • 2018Overconfidence4 cited
  • 2024Jumping to fixations: jumping to conclusions is associated with less hypothesis generation and more fixation2 cited
  • 2008Rejoinder: error in confidence judgments2 cited
  • 2010Are the Unskilled Doomed to Remain Unaware? [The Extended Version]2 cited