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Predictability, complexity, and catastrophe in a collapsible model of population, development, and environmental interactions
16 references·6 citing·40 second hop
Predictability, complexity, and catastrophe in a collapsible model of population, development, and environmental interactions (1995)Predictability, complexity, and catastrop…Population forecasting: Do simple models outperform complex models? (1995)Population forecasting: Do si…Modeling and forecasting the time series of US fertility: Age distribution, range, and ultimate level (1993)Modeling and forecasting the …Stochastic demographic forecasting (1992)Stochastic demographic foreca…Population forecasting: Guest editors' introduction (1992)Population forecasting: Guest…Modeling and forecasting US sex differentials in mortality (1992)Modeling and forecasting US s…Modeling and Forecasting U. S. Mortality (1992)Modeling and Forecasting U. S…Forecasting US population totals with the Box-Jenkins approach (1992)Forecasting US population tot…Forecasting cause-specific mortality using time series methods (1992)Forecasting cause-specific mo…Stochastic methods in population forecasting (1990)Stochastic methods in populat…Forecasting Mortality: A Parameterized Time Series Approach (1989)Forecasting Mortality: A Para…Confidence intervals for population projections based on Monte Carlo methods (1988)Confidence intervals for popu…Population forecasts and confidence intervals for sweden: a comparison of model-based and empirical approaches (1986)Population forecasts and conf…The Accuracy of Population Projections (1983)The Accuracy of Population Pr…The Limits of Population Forecasting (1981)The Limits of Population Fore…A time series approach to forecasting Australian total live-births (1979)A time series approach to for…Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) Models for Birth Forecasting (1977)Autoregressive Integrated Mov…Old and New Perspectives on Mortality Forecasting (2019)Old and New Perspectives on M…Erroneous Population Forecasts (2019)Erroneous Population ForecastsPrecision, bias, and uncertainty for state population forecasts: an exploratory analysis of time series models (2007)Precision, bias, and uncertai…Perspectives on mortality forecasting (2003)Perspectives on mortality for…Long‐Range Population Projections Made Simple (2002)Long‐Range Population Project…Simplicity and complexity in extrapolatwe population forecasting models (1995)Simplicity and complexity in …Model Fertility Schedules: Variations in The Age Structure of Childbearing in Human Populations (1974)Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (1977)Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter (1990)Will Aging Baby Boomers Bust the Federal Budget? 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this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1992Modeling and Forecasting U. S. Mortality2,311 cited
  • 1981The Limits of Population Forecasting297 cited
  • 1983The Accuracy of Population Projections241 cited
  • 1989Forecasting Mortality: A Parameterized Time Series Approach232 cited
  • 1992Modeling and forecasting US sex differentials in mortality181 cited
  • 1990Stochastic methods in population forecasting149 cited
  • 1993Modeling and forecasting the time series of US fertility: Age distribution, range, and ultimate level124 cited
  • 1986Population forecasts and confidence intervals for sweden: a comparison of model-based and empirical approaches102 cited
  • 1977Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) Models for Birth Forecasting100 cited
  • 1992Forecasting cause-specific mortality using time series methods76 cited
  • 1992Forecasting US population totals with the Box-Jenkins approach76 cited
  • 1988Confidence intervals for population projections based on Monte Carlo methods66 cited
  • 1979A time series approach to forecasting Australian total live-births55 cited
  • 1992Stochastic demographic forecasting45 cited
  • 1992Population forecasting: Guest editors' introduction45 cited

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  • 1995Population forecasting: Do simple models outperform complex models?39 cited
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    • 2007Precision, bias, and uncertainty for state population forecasts: an exploratory analysis of time series models49 cited
    • 2003Perspectives on mortality forecasting27 cited
    • 2019Old and New Perspectives on Mortality Forecasting26 cited
    • 1995Simplicity and complexity in extrapolatwe population forecasting models22 cited
    • 2002Long‐Range Population Projections Made Simple20 cited
    • 2019Erroneous Population Forecasts16 cited